Why ‘Expected Goals’ Can’t Tell the Full Devils Story

Oct 13, 2026, 4:21 PM ET|Comments (0)

from New Jersey Hockey Now, by Daniel Amoia,

Expected goals have recently become a staple of hockey analysis. For the New Jersey Devils , however, the numbers help illustrate a concerning story that has persisted across multiple seasons.

Since the start of 2024-25, the Devils have scored 291 goals at five-on-five despite generating 363.28 “expected goals”, a differential of minus-72.28 goals. No team in the NHL has underperformed its expected goals by more over that span.

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